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  • 62 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 6th, 2023

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  • Here you go, you’ll need numpy, scipy and matplotlib:

    from scipy.optimize import curve_fit
    from matplotlib import pyplot as plt
    
    # 2010-2013 data from https://ourworldindata.org/renewable-energy [TWh]
    y = np.array([32, 63, 97, 132, 198, 256, 328, 445, 575, 659, 853, 1055, 1323, 1629])
    x = np.arange(0, len(y))
    
    # function we expect the data to fit
    fit_func = lambda x, a, b, c: a * np.exp2(b * x ) + c
    popt, _ = curve_fit(fit_func, x, y, maxfev=5000)
    
    fig, ax = plt.subplots()
    ax.scatter(x + 2010, y, label="Data", color="b", linestyle=":")
    ax.plot(x + 2010, fit_func(x, *popt), color="r", linewidth=3.0, linestyle="-", label='best fit curve: $y={0:.3f} * 2^{{{1:.3f}x}} + {2:.3f}$'.format(*popt))
    plt.legend()
    plt.show()
    

    Here’s what I get, global solar energy generated doubles every ~3.5 (1/0.284) years.







  • The mistake you make is that you assume the law works the same in China as in countries that have rule of law. China doesn’t have rule of law, they have ‘rule by law’. The Communist Party isn’t just above the law, the law is a tool for them to use how they see fit. If you are undermining the Communist Party then that is by definition misinformation.

    Remember, this is the same country where one day the minister of health aplauded a journalist’s effort to combat pollution with a documentary called under the dome, and the next day it was gone from the internet as if it never existed. Whenever they have internal issues they stir up some hatred for the USA or Japan, only to be forgotten somewhat later.

    They took 1984 not as a warning, but as a manual









  • You have zero power as a citizen over the currency you use. You do not directly vote for the Central bankers, Federal Reserve board, etc. Even the politicians you might vote for who appoint them will almost always side in their own favor than their constituents.

    I didn’t say it’s perfect, but it’s not zero power.

    You are also confusing Bitcoin’s Proof of Work with a shitcoin’s Proof of Stake, which is where wealth gives you more votes.

    Proof of stake is arguably even worse, but the energy required for proof of work isn’t free either (and that’s by design, if it was free Bitcoin wouldn’t work).

    As for the hash rate you’re contributing as a miner, there’s no additional power you’re given. Even if you attempted to 51% attack the network, it’d be gaining nothing beyond a double-spend by rewriting the blockchain transaction.

    There is more than double spending. Who decides how Bitcoin evolves? When new features are added, hard forks, etc. How much power do you have over that?

    https://www.bitcoin.com/get-started/what-is-bitcoin-governance/#what-is-a-bitcoin-hard-fork

    How ever you turn it, at best it’s a shitty version of democracy.

    Fundamentally money is all about trust, and I, despite all it’s flaws trust my government much more than a random group of developers and miners.